The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now

New Diddy charges before November?

Politics · resolves Oct 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/sean-combs-charged-manhattan-federal-court-sex-trafficking-and-other-federal-offenses.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.