The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?
Politics · resolves Mar 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the official congress website, regardless of if the stimulus checks have been paid out yet — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the official Congress website, regardless of if the stimulus checks have been paid out yet.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.