The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.