The market moved
-5.0ppin 24h · now 75¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $507.12
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 75¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.