The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 51¢

Panthers vs. Cardinals: 1H Moneyline

Sports · resolves Aug 7 · vol $831.50

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 51¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the score at halftime only — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the score at halftime only.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.