The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 41¢

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $46.5K

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 25.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.