The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 61¢

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?

Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $14.99

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 61¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the bank rate resulting from the july 2026 meeting of the bank of england’s monetary po — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Po — https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.