The market moved
+8.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Macro · resolves Sep 18 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/m_ref/mref240731a.pdf).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.