The market moved

+8.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Macro · resolves Sep 18 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/m_ref/mref240731a.pdf).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.