The market moved

+20.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Other · resolves Jan 27 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bcb.gov.br — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: bcb.gov.br — https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.