'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on by examining the four-hour window between 2 pm and 6 pm on december 10, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: by examining the four-hour window between 2 PM and 6 PM on December 10, 2025 — https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1764799281194).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.