The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 33¢
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?
Sports · resolves Jul 18 · vol $39.63
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.