The market moved

+12.5ppin 24h · now 43¢

Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-18?

Sports · resolves Jul 18 · vol $39.07

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 43¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.