The market moved

+2.3ppin 24h · now 96¢

Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5

Sports · resolves Jul 31 · vol $92.74

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 20.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.