The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 90¢
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Science · resolves May 31 · vol $678.24
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 90¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NATO — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.