The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 100¢
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?
Other · resolves Jul 20 · vol $500.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on airnow.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: airnow.gov — https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.