The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

NYC crime up this week?

Other · resolves Dec 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of the city of new york for the week of — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Department of the City of New York for the week of — https://www.nyc.gov/site/nypd/stats/crime-statistics/citywide-crime-stats.page.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.