The market moved
+14.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $31.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.