The market moved
-11.4ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 14 · vol $30.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.