The market moved
-17.0ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 23 · vol $87.44
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.