The market moved

-1.8ppin 24h · now

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Other · resolves May 22 · vol $32.92

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.