The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 79¢

Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?

Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $2.48

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on defillama.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: defillama.com — https://defillama.com/hacks.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.