The market moved
-6.0ppin 24h · now 12¢
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $51.30
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on defillama.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: defillama.com — https://defillama.com/hacks.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.