Palisades fire burns 25,000-30,000 acres by Friday?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of forestry and fire protection becomes unavailable — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable — https://www.fire.ca.gov/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.