Paul Finebaum announces Alabama Senate run by December 31?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.on3.com/news/report-paul-finebaum-considering-run-for-us-senate-seat-in-alabama-leaving-espn/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.