The market moved

+3.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?

Other · resolves Jul 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on airnow.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: airnow.gov — https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=pennsylvania.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.