Portugal Legislative Election: Will the Socialist Party win the most votes?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cne.pt — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: cne.pt — https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.