The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Other · resolves Jun 15 · vol $1.6K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.