The market moved

+8.5ppin 24h · now 51¢

Rainbow Six Siege: Rival Esports vs Man eSports LFO (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Playoffs

Sports · resolves Jul 14 · vol $3.6K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 51¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.