Will Raphinha be in Brazil's Starting 11?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 10.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.