The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 94¢
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?
Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $15.75
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 94¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 40.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.