The market moved

-87.9ppin 24h · now

Record low border encounters in March?

Other · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 87.9pp shift. Resolution depends on the first report of data for mar 2025, regardless of future revisions — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the first report of data for Mar 2025, regardless of future revisions — https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.