Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the september 2026 meeting of the reserve bank of a — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of A — https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.