The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 16¢

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?

Macro · resolves Nov 3 · vol $162.56

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the november 2026 meeting of the reserve bank of au — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Au — https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.