The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 19¢
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Science · resolves Dec 31 · vol $176.40
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 19¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @rocketlabcorp — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @RocketLabCorp — https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.