The market moved

+7.0ppin 24h · now 57¢

FK Fakel Voronezh vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Sports · resolves Aug 10 · vol $13.33

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.