The market moved
-6.8ppin 24h · now 3¢
FK Rostov vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 5.5
Sports · resolves Aug 8 · vol $105.79
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 10.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.