The market moved
+56.0ppin 24h · now 93¢
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Sports · resolves Aug 9 · vol $200.85
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 56.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.