The market moved

+7.0ppin 24h · now 48¢

Will Castres Olympique win?

Other · resolves May 23 · vol $5.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.