The market moved

-49.5ppin 24h · now

Map Handicap: Jumy (-1.5) vs Shino (+1.5)

Other · resolves Jul 3 · vol $50.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 1.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.