The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 1¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $70.14
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 34.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.