The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 43¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $1.06
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.