The market moved
-9.8ppin 24h · now 22¢
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $324.39
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.8pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court — https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.