The market moved
-14.5ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
Macro · resolves Aug 6 · vol $638.27
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 24.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.