SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price of the abbreviated session — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.