The market moved

+0.8ppin 24h · now 97¢

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

Macro · resolves Jan 1 · vol $4.9K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on public statement by nasdaq — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Public statement by Nasdaq — https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.