The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 7¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Macro · resolves Jan 1 · vol $183.26
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on spglobal.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: spglobal.com — https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.