The market moved

-9.5ppin 24h · now 63¢

Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves May 14 · vol $30.50

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 30.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.