The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over 5,925 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?

Macro · resolves Nov 14 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: finance.yahoo.com — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.