The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $408.67
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price for s&p 500 (spx) on the final trading day of december 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.