The market moved
+1.6ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $34.60
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: finance.yahoo.com — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.